SJM Slides Again—Is a Major Rebound Finally Coming?

Trevor Bawerman

Updated on:

J.M. Smucker Co (NYSE: SJM) began Tuesday’s session under pressure, declining 3.73% from the previous trading day before closing at $104.27. Over the past 52 weeks, the stock has moved within a range of $93.30 to $125.42, reflecting shifting sentiment in the Packaged Foods industry. The company’s average annual earnings per share have declined -10.54%, signaling headwinds in profitability over recent years. SJM currently maintains a float of 104.36 million shares and 106.69 million shares outstanding.

Ownership Landscape and Insider Activity

Large-scale investor participation remains significant in J.M. Smucker Co, with 2.18% insider ownership and a strong 89.58% institutional ownership. Recently, on September 30, 2025, the company’s Chief Financial Officer sold 11,139 shares at $108.11, totaling $1,204,220, leaving them with 33,864 shares. On the same day, another company officer executed an identical sale—11,139 shares at $108.11—also valued at $1,204,220. These back-to-back transactions highlight internal share adjustments amid market shifts.

Recent Quarterly Performance and Analyst Expectations

According to the latest quarterly report released on January 31, 2025, J.M. Smucker Co reported EPS of 2.61, beating the consensus estimate of 2.37 by 0.24. Despite this positive performance, analysts anticipate 2.7 EPS for the current fiscal year, reflecting tempered optimism. Market expectations suggest that earnings may decline by -10.54% in the next fiscal year, aligning with the company’s recent historical earnings trend.

Key Financial Indicators and Valuation Metrics

The company’s financial health indicators reflect mixed performance. Last quarter, J.M. Smucker Co recorded a quick ratio of 0.37, indicating modest short-term liquidity. The stock carries a price-to-sales ratio (TTM) of 1.22, along with a price-to-free-cash-flow ratio (TTM) of 16.85, suggesting moderate valuation levels. For the trailing twelve months, the firm reported a diluted EPS of -11.23, with projections estimating 2.36 EPS in the next quarter and 9.90 EPS within the upcoming year, indicating expected recovery ahead.

Technical Indicators and Market Behavior

Recent technical data show that SJM’s 5-day average volume of 2.6 million was significantly higher than last year’s 1.71 million, pointing to heightened trading activity. The stock’s Stochastic %D reading of 14.18% suggests oversold conditions in the near term. Its 100-day raw stochastic average of 2.58%—slightly below the 3.07% recorded over the past two weeks—further reflects weakened momentum.

Volatility metrics reveal a 14-day historical volatility of 2.56, exceeding the 2.33 level seen over the past 100 days. The stock is currently trading near its 50-day moving average of $105.80 and below its 200-day moving average of $108.66.

Key trading levels include:

  • Resistance: $102.07, $103.77, $104.80
  • Support: $99.34, $98.31, $96.61

These levels provide insight into potential price movements depending on market direction.

Fundamental Statistics and Company Standing

J.M. Smucker Co holds a market capitalization of $10.71 billion with 106,685K shares outstanding. The company generates $8,726 million in annual sales, though annual income currently stands at -1,231 million. In its most recent quarter, the company reported $2,113 million in revenue and a net income of -43.9 million, reflecting ongoing financial challenges.

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