KSS Breaks Out—Could This Be Just the Beginning?

Trevor Bawerman

Updated on:

Kohl’s Corp (NYSE: KSS) staged a dramatic rally on Tuesday, soaring 42.53% from the previous session and closing at $15.73. Over the past 52 weeks, the stock has moved between $6.04 and $21.39, reflecting considerable volatility in investor sentiment. Despite the recent price surge, the company has faced significant long-term challenges. Over the last five years, annual sales have declined by -25.96%, while average yearly earnings per share have fallen -30.53%. Kohl’s currently has a float of 107.73 million shares and 112.08 million shares outstanding, positioning it as a prominent name within the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Investor Ownership and Insider Trading Activity

Examining investor sentiment reveals that insiders hold 3.88% of Kohl’s shares, whereas institutions maintain a substantial 95.88% ownership. The most recent insider activity occurred on July 22, 2025, when the Senior EVP & Chief Marketing Officer sold 26,500 shares at $19.56, a transaction valued at $518,450, leaving them with 228,349 shares. Another officer executed the same transaction on the same day, also selling 26,500 shares at $19.56 for the same total value. These repeated transactions may reflect strategic repositioning within the company’s leadership.

Recent Earnings Results and Analyst Expectations

The latest quarterly earnings report, released on January 31, 2025, showed that Kohl’s posted EPS of 0.43, falling short of the consensus estimate of 0.77 by -0.34. Looking ahead, Wall Street analysts predict -0.32 EPS for the current fiscal year, indicating anticipated earnings pressure. For the long term, analysts expect earnings to decline by -19.38% over the next five years, a softer decline compared to the -25.96% drop seen in the previous five-year period.

Financial Ratios and Core Performance Metrics

Key financial indicators from the most recent quarter show that Kohl’s maintains a quick ratio of 0.12, pointing to limited short-term liquidity. The company’s price-to-sales ratio (TTM) stands at 0.16, and its price-to-free-cash-flow ratio is 2.82, suggesting the stock may be relatively undervalued by some measures. For the trailing twelve months, Kohl’s reported diluted EPS of 1.71, with expectations of 0.65 EPS next quarter and 0.97 EPS in the upcoming year—indicating potential stabilization despite wider earnings volatility.

Technical Trends and Price Behavior

Recent trading activity shows heightened investor interest, with a 5-day average volume of 11.53 million, surpassing last year’s 9.79 million. The stock’s Stochastic %D level of 48.05% suggests neutral momentum. Over the past 100 days, the raw stochastic average soared to 99.74%, slightly above 99.54% from the last two weeks, reflecting strong recent price movement.

Volatility metrics reveal a 14-day historical volatility of 1.05, higher than the 100-day volatility of 0.97, indicating elevated short-term market fluctuations. The stock currently trades above its 200-day moving average of $11.68 but slightly below its 50-day moving average of $16.42.

Key technical levels include:

  • Resistance: $23.46, $24.50, $26.54
  • Support: $20.38, $18.33, $17.29

These thresholds will help guide traders in evaluating potential price breakouts or pullbacks.

Key Company Statistics and Financial Standing

Kohl’s Corp holds a market capitalization of $2.51 billion with 112,075K shares outstanding. The company currently reports $16,221 million in annual sales and $109 million in annual income. In the most recent quarter, Kohl’s generated $3,546 million in revenue and reported $153 million in net income, illustrating ongoing efforts to stabilize performance amid a challenging retail environment.

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